Staff Details

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Prof. Michael BellProf.MichaelBell
Professor of Transport Operations

 

Contact Information

E-mail:
m.g.h.bell@imperial.ac.uk
Address:
Room 608, Skempton Bldg. Imperial College London SW7 2AZ
Telephone:
+44(0)20 7594-6091
Fax:
+44(0)20 7594-6102
Related Webpage:

Academic Information

Teaching Activities Research Interests
Please check the MSc website.
  • Reliability and Flow in Transport Networks
  • Port Operations Research and Technology
  • Traffic Monitoring, Control and Simulation
  • Accessible and Demand Responsive Transport
  • In-vehicle Information Systems


CV:
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Summary of Publications  


This is not necessarily a complete list of publications by the staff member.Publications before 1999 are not included.Please download the CV for full details.

Publication Format: Working Paper

Kaparias, I. and Bell, M. G. H., 2009, A reliability-based dynamic re-routing algorithm for in-vehicle navigation, Working Paper, Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College London

Schmocker, J-D., Kurauchi, F., Bell, M.G.H. and Polak, J.W., 2009, Travel budget schemes for door-to-door travel: Concepts and a London Case Study , Paper submitted to Transportation

T.-C. Lee, J. W. Polak, and M. G. H. Bell, 2008, Trajectory Extractor User Manual Version 1.0, Working Paper, Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College London

T.-C. Lee, J. W. Polak, and M. G. H. Bell, 2008, BikeSim User Manual Version 1.0, Working Paper, Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College London

Schmöcker, J-D., Kurauchi, F., Bell, M.G.H. and Polak, J., 2005, Travel Budget Schemes for Door-To-Door-Transport - Concepts and a London Case Study, Working Paper, Centre for Transport Studies, Imperial College London. Submitted for Publication in Transportation


Publication Format: Journal - In press

North, R.J., Cohen, J. Wilkins, S.,. Richards, M., Hoose, N., Polak, J.W., Bell. M., Blythe, P., Sharif, B., Neasham, Visalakshmi, S., Galatioto, F., Hill,. G, 2010, Field deployments of the MESSAGE system for environmental monitoring , Forthcoming in Traffic Engineering and Control (In Press)

Quddus, M.A., Carmel, A., Bell, M.G.H., 2006, The impact of the congestion charge on retail: the London experience, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy (In Press)

Bell, M.G.H., Wong, K.I. and Nicholson, A.J., 2005, A ROLLING HORIZON APPROACH TO THE OPTIMAL DISPATCHING OF TAXIS, International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory (In Press)

Wong K.I., Wong S.C., Bell M.G.H. and Yang H., 2004, Modeling the bilateral micro-searching behavior for urban taxi services using the absorbing Markov chain approach, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Behavior in Networks, July, Seoul, South Korea, pp 201-210. Journal of Advanced Transportation, in press. (In Press)


Publication Format: Journal

Kaparias, I. and Bell, M. G. H., 2009, Testing a reliable in-vehicle navigation algorithm in the field, IET Intelligent Transport Systems, 3 (3), pp.314-324

Lee, T-C., Polak, J.W. and Bell, M.G.H., 2009, New approach to modelling mixed traffic containing motorcycles in urban areas , Transportation Research Record, 2140, pp.195

Hu, J., Kaparias, I. and Bell, M. G. H., 2009, Spatial econometrics models for congestion prediction with in-vehicle route guidance, IET Intelligent Transport Systems, 3 (2), pp.159-167

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H., Belzner, H., Leonhardt A. and Bogenberger, K., 2009, Zuverlässige Dynamische Zielführung, Straßenverkehrstechnik, 9.2009, pp.574-581

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H. and Belzner, H., 2008, A new measure of travel time reliability for in-vehicle navigation systems, Journal of Intelligent Transport Systems, 12 (4), pp.202-212


Publication Format: Book

Bichou, K., Bell, M.G.H. and Evans, A., 2007, Risk Management in Port Operations, Logistics and Supply Chain Security, Informa, ISBN:978-1-84311-655-4

Bichou, K, Bell, M.G.H. and Evans, A, 2007, Risk Management in Port Operations, Logistics and Supply Chain Security, Informa, London, ISBN:978-1-84311-655-4

Lam, W.H.K. and Bell, M.G.H., 2003, Advanced Modelling for Transit Operations and Service Planning, Pergamon, Oxford, ISBN:0080442064

BELL, M.G.H. AND CASSIR, Editors, 2000, Reliability of Transport Networks, Research Studies Press, Baldock, Hertfordshire, England


Publication Format: Book Chapters - In press

Bell, M. G. H. & Wichiensin, M., 2007, Impact of Profit Maximising Transit on Socially Optimal Congestion Charging (In Press)

Schmöcker, J-D., Quddus, M., Fonzone, A. and Bell, M.G.H., 2005, Dynamic Transit Assignment: The Case for a Frequency Based Model (In Press)


Publication Format: Book Chapters

Chen, Y., Bell, M. G. H. and Kaparias, I., 2007, Reliability analysis of road networks and pre-planning of emergency rescue paths, Edited by Murray, A. T. and Grubesic, T. H., In: Critical Infrastructure: Reliability and vulnerability, Springer

Bell, M.G.H, Bichou, K and Feldman, K, 2007, Port Efficiency and the Stability of Container Liner Schedules, Edited by Bichou, K, Bell, M.G.H. and Evans, A, Risk Management in Port Operations, Logistics and Supply Chain Security, Informa, London

Angeloudis, P, Bichou, K and Bell, M.G.H, 2007, Security and Reliability of the Liner Container-Shipping Network: Analysis of Robustness using a Complex Network Framework, Edited by Bichou, K, Bell, M.G.H. and Evans, A, Risk Management in Port Operations, Logistics and Supply Chain Security, Informa, London

Bell, M.G.H. and Schmöcker J.-D., 2004, A Solution to the Transit Assignment Problem, Edited by Nigel H.M. Wilson and Agostino Nuzzolo, In: Schedule-Based Dynamic Transit Modeling. Theory and Applications

Cassir, C., Bell, M.G.H. and Schmöcker, J.-D, 2003, A Normative Assessment of Transport Network Reliability Based on Game Theory, Edited by M.G.H. Bell and Y. Iida, In: The Network Reliability of Transport., Pergamon


Publication Format: Conference Proceedings (Published)

Lee, T-C., Polak, J.W., Bell, M.G.H. and Wigan, M.R., 2010, The PCU Values of Motorcycles in Congested Flow, Proceedings of the 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, CD-ROM

Lee, T.-C., Polak, J.W. and Bell, M.G.H., 2009, A new approach to modelling mixed traffic containing motorcycles in urban area, presented at the 88th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., USA

Jun, Hu, Rajesh Krishnan and Michael Bell, 2008, TPEG Feed from the BBC: a Potential Source of ITS Data?, 13th International Conference on Road Transport Information and Control, Manchester, UK, 20-22 May 2008.

Park, K., Bell, M. G. H., Kaparias, I. and Belzner, H., 2007, Development of a software tool to learn user preferences for personalised route guidance, Presented at the 14th World Congress on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Beijing, China.

Hu, J., Kaparias, I. and Bell, M. G. H., 2007, Identification of link congestion dependence patterns for dynamic route guidance, Presented at the 14th World Congress on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Beijing, China.


Publication Format: Conference Proceedings (unpublished)

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H., Greensted, J., Cheng, S., Miri, A., Taylor, C. and Mount, B., 2010, Development and implementation of a vehicle-pedestrian conflicts analysis method: Adaptation of a vehicle-vehicle technique, Presented at the 89th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, USA.

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H., Miri, A., Cheng, S., Greensted, J., Taylor, C. and Mount, B., 2010, Modelling the willingness of pedestrians to share space with vehicles, Presented at the 42nd Annual Conference of the Universities’ Transport Study Group, Plymouth, UK.

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H. and Belzner, H., 2008, Quantifying and measuring travel time reliability for in-vehicle navigation systems, Presented at the 87th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,Washington, DC, USA.

Kaparias, I., Bell, M. G. H. and Belzner, H., 2008, Field testing of a reliable in-vehicle navigation algorithm, Presented at the 10th International Conference on Applications of Advanced Technologies in Transportation, Athens, Greece

Park, K., Bell, M. G. H., Kaparias, I. and Bogenberger, K., 2007, User modelling approach to adaptive route selection in intelligent vehicle navigation, Presented at the 11th World Conference on Transport Research, Berkeley, CA, USA.


Publication Format: PhD Thesis

Kaparias, I., 2008, Reliable Dynamic In-vehicle Navigation, PhD Thesis, Imperial College London

Rudjito, Didik, 2007, The Application of Fuzzy Logic to Traffic Assignment in Developing Countries, PhD Thesis, Imperial College London

Wichiensin, Muanmas, 2007, An Inter-modal Equilibrium Model of Privatised Transit in Combination with road-based Congestion Charging, PhD Thesis, Imperial College London

Su, Fengming, 2007, Understanding and Satisfying Older People’s Travel Demand, PhD Thesis, Imperial College London

Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk, 2006, Dynamic Capacity Constrained Transit Assignment, PhD Thesis, Imperial College London


Publication Format: Research Report

Bogenberger, K., Bell, M. G. H., Kaparias, I., Park, K., Bertini, R. L., Boice, S., Busch, F., Leonhardt, A. and Spangler, M., 2006, OFFENSIVE Project Summary, BMW Group, Munich, Germany

Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk, Mohammed A. Quddus, Fumitaka Kurauchi, Benjamin Condry, Fengming Su, Robert B. Noland and Michael G.H. Bell, 2004, Developing a Simulation Tool for the Estimation of Trip Generation and Mode Choice of London's STS Population, Transport for London

Bell, M.G.H., Quddus, M.A., Schmoecker, J.D. and Fonzone, A., 2004, The impact of the congestion charge on the retail sector, Report submitted to John Lewis Partnership, UK.

Schmöcker, J-D., Kurauchi, F. Bell, M.G.H. and Polak, J., 2003, A d2d Travel Budget Scheme for London, Final Project Report to Transport for London, London


Publication Format: Lectures and Invited Presentations

Bell M.G.H. and Wong K.I., 2004, Post-Lighthill Traffic Flow Theory, Lecture in Lighthill Institute of Mathematical Sciences, 24 November, University College London. Working paper to be submitted to Mathematics Today.

Bell, M.G.H., 2004, Risk and Reliability in Transport: Quantifying the Unquantifiable, Inaugural Lecture of Imperial College London

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Summary of Projects  


Dynamic Hyperpath Search for Transit and Traffic Assignment
Bell, M.G.H. and Schmoecher, J.-D.

Path choices by transport network users depend in part on decisions made in response to foreseeable circumstances at the start of the trip and in part on choices made as the trip unfolds. In the case of transit networks, on-trip choices may depend on factors such as which line arrives first at a particular stop or platform, whereas in the case of traffic networks, on-trip choices may be influenced by factors such as an encountered queue, the state of traffic signals, or information received by the driver. In transit assignment, the effects of on-trip decisions are accommodated through the definition of a set of elemental paths that may be optimal (referred to as a hyperpath) and strategies for on-trip choices. In traffic assignment, the stochastic user equilibrium principle has been used to capture the effects of on-trip choices and different user preferences. However, the usual forms of stochastic assignment (C-logit, path size logit, cross-nested logit or probit) generally place few or ad hoc constraints on the set of feasible paths and assume that all feasible paths have a non-zero probability of use. Choice of path is assumed to be the result of random utility variation rather than the outcome of a choice strategy in the face of unfolding circumstances as the trip takes place. To this extent, the treatment of route choice behaviour is more sophisticated in transit than in traffic assignment. Where congestion and service disruptions are a prominent feature, it is necessary to take time-dependency into account in defining hyperpaths. The objective of this proposal is to extend the concepts of hyperpath and strategy-based decision-making to dynamic transit networks, traffic networks and multi-modal networks and then assess the benefits of so doing.



Robust optimisation techniques applied to automated container terminals
Panagiotis Angeloudis (supervised by Michael Bell)

There has been growing interest, particularly from European ports, in the automation of container terminals as a way to improve their efficiency and reliability. Plans for the new London Gateway container terminal on the former Shell Haven site envisage the highest degree of automation to date, providing a unique opportunity for the UK to develop strategically important expertise in automation software. This project seeks to develop robust optimisation methods to control the automated horizontal and vertical movement of containers within the terminal, and the implementation of these methods in prototype control software. Robust optimisation involves the definition of intervals for key parameters, like the start time and duration for individual container movements, and then looks for a solution that minimises maximum regret with respect to particular realisations of parameters. The overall control objective, namely the minimisation of ship unloading and loading time, provides the measure of regret. The optimisation takes future events into account through a rolling planning horizon, using intervals to allow for their uncertainty. As the robust optimisation problem is expected to be NP-hard, heuristic methods will be devised to allow implementation in real time.



Shipping industry-related network optimisation
Panagiotis Angeloudis, Khalid Bichou, Michael Bell

A global dynamic network model is being developed for two shipping sectors (containers and energy transfer) to enable freight forwarders, shippers, shipping lines, port operators and others to assess risk and plan strategically. The network, based on timetabled services, will be regularly updated. It is envisaged that users of the dynamic network model will do so via the London e-Science Portal at Imperial College.



Performance measurement and benchmarking of container terminals
Khalid Bichou (Supervisors: M.G.H. Bell, J.W.Polak, R. Cochrane)

Most practical and theoretical approaches to port performance and benchmarking are reducible to three broad categories: physical indicators, factor productivity indicators, and economic/financial indicators. However, despite the variety of tools and instruments available, there is no established framework for efficiency measurement and competitive benchmarking for ports. There are several obstacles to such a framework, most importantly the cross-functional and multi-institutional dimensions of ports. This research will adapt and apply quantitative logistics techniques and balance scorecard models to port operations and management. Using a survey and/or case study methods, the research will focus on optimising container terminal operations in relation to other elements of the transport and logistics chain (shipping lines, 3PLs, inland transport operators, etc.).



Adaptive multicriteria In-vehicle navigation systems
Kyounga Park (Supervisor: M.G.H. Bell)

This research aims to enhance the efficiency of navigation systems from the user’s perspective. As the use of navigation systems becomes more widespread, the demand for more user friendly systems increases. A reasonable solution to fulfil the demand of users may be to making more intelligent navigation systems that can learn driver preferences for route choice. In order for navigation systems to acquire knowledge of user preferences with the minimum effort on the user’s part, it is essential to discover regularities by observing route choice behaviour, which can be achieved by user modelling approaches. User modelling is a useful approach to capture user preferences without any information being directly input by the user; instead, the information is retrieved while the user makes use of the system. This research addresses the problems of incorporating user modelling methods into route guidance for more user-friendly and more intelligent navigation systems. The primary goal is a prototype of an adaptive route guidance system that possesses an ability to learn user preferences.



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Summary of News Items  




February 2007

EPSRC has awarded Professor Michael G H Bell and Dr Jan-Dirk Schmoecker a three-year grant to take forward dynamic hyperpath transit assignment work presented in Dr Schmoecker's PhD thesis and extend the dynamic hyperpath concept to traffic assignment. The grant, worth £0.34m, covers both a post-doctoral research assistantship and a PhD studentship. The research will be conducted in partnership with Transport for London and in collaboration with the University of Kyoto, Japan.

December 2006

Congratulations to Didik Rudjito who successfully defended his PhD dissertation. The topic of his dissertation was "The Application of Fuzzy Logic to Multi-ClassTraffic Assignment in Developing Countries". Dr. Rudjito was supervised by Professor Mike Bell. He will be returning to his post in the Ministry of Public Works in Indonesia.

October 2006

Congratulations to Jan-Dirk Schmöcker who successfully defended his PhD dissertation. The title of the dissertation was "Dynamic Capacity Constrained Transit Assignment" and Dr. Schmöcker was supervised by Prof. Mike Bell. Dr. Schmöcker continues to work at CTS as a Research Associate.

February 2005

Prof. Michael G H Bell led the annual Anglo-German Winter Seminar, this time in Bettmeralp, Switzerland. Jan-Dirk Schmoecker and Will Adeney also attended.

June 2006

Panagiotis Angeloudis undertook an internship with the United Nations Conference for Trade And Development (UNCTAD) in Geneva. This involved studying the security measures taken by Governments and individual ports in response to the recent International Ship and Port Security (ISPS) code.

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